De uil van Minerva


Nobody could get around it last week, the elections. The Netherlands held elections in order to choose new provincial parliaments. This was a very important elections and a lot of speculations and predictions were made before the election. Will the coalition lose their majority in the senate? This did happen with a new party ‘Forum for Democracy’ (FvD) being the absolute winner of the election. As the political leader, Thierry Baudet, said himself “We have been called to the front!”

The big question is how the current cabinet will deal with their minority in the senate and how FvD will use their votes. Both are hard to predict. We will have to wait how the senate will operate now. Also it is hard to say what the plans of FvD will do as they do not want to let the CBS (Central Bureau for Statistics) calculate the costs of their program. However, we can make estimations and we can look at the current statistics and see how these will change.

there are four main aspects which are central in the election program of FvD: Immigration policy, climate policy, European union and taxes. Right now the budget for taking in migrants is 1 billion euro. FvD wants to reduce this amount and the number of migrants. The only downside is that it will be harder for working migrants to get a visum. These migrants pay taxes to the dutch government.

On climate, the Netherlands will spend over the next 30 years between 650 and 1000 billion euro. This is around 21.7 till 33.3 billion per year. FvD wants to spend this money on other things, such as lowering taxes.

Furthermore, FvD wants to spend less money on the EU and have more sovereignty. According to Baudet the EU is impossible to reform and that is why the Netherlands should leave the EU. There should be a referendum where the dutch people can vote whether to stay or to Nexit the EU. The Netherlands pays around 4 billion euros to the EU, but does receive a few billion back. This is probably less than the invested 4 billion, because we are a rich country within the EU. The Netherlands does use the open borders in order to have international trade, especially with Germany.

The biggest budget cuts that FvD want to implement would free up between 26.7 and 38.3 billion euro’s on a yearly basis. Again, these are just estimations. FvD wants to spend this money on the military, healthcare and a lowering of the income tax with two categories of 20% and 35%. This would lead to a reduction of 82 billion in income taxes, but will raise the income of the VAT, because people have more to spend.

We can only wait what plans they will be able to execute and how much they will cost. As long as the costs for the program have not been calculated, it will be hard to draw any conclusions.